Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.621813 0.713131 0.812521 0.928641 1.060495 1.205472 1.376880
2024-12-29 0.476895 0.598671 0.742775 0.925504 1.150660 1.418632 1.761380
2025-01-05 0.364046 0.496910 0.666732 0.898840 1.206879 1.600625 2.140995
2025-01-12 0.293048 0.432187 0.623105 0.902572 1.299327 1.840199 2.630884
2025-01-19 0.230730 0.365972 0.564290 0.873728 1.341300 2.017570 3.064972
2025-01-26 0.197691 0.335130 0.549227 0.903165 1.468840 2.331481 3.738045
2025-02-02 0.173978 0.313699 0.543853 0.945110 1.620179 2.700443 4.545870
2025-02-09 0.148701 0.284396 0.520120 0.952314 1.715463 2.993119 5.272891
2025-02-16 0.127035 0.256956 0.494301 0.950635 1.793834 3.266384 6.002623
2025-02-23 0.109808 0.234230 0.472608 0.951893 1.876000 3.554717 6.793940
2025-03-02 0.095388 0.214074 0.452013 0.951163 1.953079 3.841950 7.618022
2025-03-09 0.085171 0.200520 0.441835 0.968599 2.066362 4.208528 8.633737
2025-03-16 0.073967 0.182863 0.420767 0.961438 2.131681 4.495885 9.543123
2025-03-23 0.066634 0.172528 0.413525 0.982363 2.258021 4.919968 10.779515
2025-03-30 0.057949 0.157201 0.392560 0.969580 2.310242 5.199417 11.755391
2025-04-06 0.052194 0.147960 0.384011 0.983708 2.423962 5.622353 13.087925
2025-04-13 0.045054 0.133605 0.360656 0.958764 2.444234 5.844631 14.010972
2025-04-20 0.041950 0.129535 0.362186 0.995185 2.614959 6.423911 15.804872
2025-04-27 0.039683 0.127363 0.368241 1.044069 2.823061 7.114135 17.936597
2025-05-04 0.036004 0.120261 0.359910 1.053860 2.934289 7.589440 19.618135
2025-05-11 0.032372 0.112511 0.348423 1.053215 3.018393 8.009231 21.215606
2025-05-18 0.029268 0.105740 0.338526 1.055380 3.110254 8.459202 22.941161
2025-05-25 0.026446 0.099266 0.328350 1.055075 3.195343 8.902167 24.701331